TROPICS FORECAST TO BE SOMEWHAT ABOVE AVERAGE IN 2008

by James Hudgins

 

The early season outlook for the 2008 hurricane season provided via Dr. William Gray at Colorado St University calls for a slightly above normal year with 15 named storms vs. the average of 10. This includes 8 hurricanes of which 4 are expected to be intense storms reaching Category 3 or stronger. This is somewhat similar to the 2007 season that saw 15 named storms with an above average major major landfall risk in the Caribbean.

The 2007 season was very lengthy in nature with the initial named storm developing on May 9th and the last around December 13th. Of the 15 named systems, 6 were classified as hurricanes, with 2 being of the major variety. There were also 2 tropical depressions that never reached tropical storm status. The two major storms, Dean and Felix, reached Category 5 status and made history as being the only time that two Category 5 storms have made landfall in a single season. This occurred across parts of Central America resulting in billions of dollars in damages as well as significant loss of life. Otherwise limited tropical impact was felt across much of the U.S as well as the local area which saw only a couple remnant systems affect the region into the late summer months. Of note, the low pressure system associated with once Tropical Storm Erin, moved through the area on August 19th, and combined with heating to help develop thunderstorms producing damaging winds. The remnants of Hurricane Humberto brought drought relief in mid September as it produced rainfall amounts of 1 to 4 inches, except along the Blue Ridge where totals of 5 to 10 inches or rain were observed. Otherwise most of the stronger tropical cyclones remained well to the south, mainly as a combination of strong blocking high pressure over the central Atlantic, and cooler sea surface temperatures across much of the southern and central Atlantic basins.

 

2008 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Names

Arthur

Bertha

Cristobal

Dolly

Edouard

Fay

Gustav

Hanna

Ike

Josephine

Kyle

Laura

Marco

Nana

Omar

Polama

Rene

Sally

Teddy

Vicky

Wilfred

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007 Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks

2007 Tropical Cyclone Tracks in the Atlantic Basin