Rockingham County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 171626
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1226 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...

AFTERNOON UPDATE...

RH VALUES MAY FALL SOMEWHAT BELOW FORECASTS BASED ON CURRENT
CONDITIONS. 

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL TAKE UP RESIDENCY ALONG THE LEE OF
THE APPALACHIANS TODAY...AND CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY TAKE ON MORE OF A
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AROUND THE BASE OF THIS RIDGE...AND BRING
AN INCREASING FETCH OF MOISTURE AND CLOUD COVER INTO THE AREA
STARTING ON FRIDAY. 

AN LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL SLOWLY PROGRESS FROM THE GULF COAST
STATES NORTHEAST TOWARD GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA. MODEL GUIDANCE
IS SHOWING AN INCREASING TREND TOWARD LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON THE
NORTH SIDE OF THE SYSTEM REACHING PARTS OF THE REGION NEAR THE 
NC/VA BORDER FRIDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...POSSIBLY INTO MIDDAY
SATURDAY. 

THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE OFF THE GA/SC COAST BY SUNDAY...WITH 
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING ACROSS THE AREA...WITH A TREND TOWARD LESS
CLOUD COVER AND MILDER TEMPERATURES INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

OUR NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL COME TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
WHEN A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION.

NCZ005-180930-
ROCKINGHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EDEN
1226 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0            
MIN/MAX TEMP          36           60           41           66           
MAX/MIN RH %          86           42           97           35           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      NE  5        LGT/VAR      N  5         
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE  4        NE  5        LGT/VAR      NE  9        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION                                 0                         
PRECIP BEGIN                                    12 AM                     
PRECIP END                                      2 AM                      
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 2640                      3650         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  7                     NE 28        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 18480                     102200       
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 VERY POOR                 
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          4            4            3            2            
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      17 GEN POOR  22 FAIR      56 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  19 GEN POOR  8 POOR       96 GOOD      
MAX LVORI EARLY       3            4            3            5            
MAX LVORI LATE        4            2            4            1            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

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