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FNUS51 KRNK 310939
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
539 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE DAY...
THEN RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THIS EVENING AS A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE
FROM CANADA MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. WINTER STORM
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA VICINITY OF
MOUNT ROGERS LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET
WILL SEE THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT. SOME LIGHTER ACCUMULATIONS OF 
SNOW ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE WEST VIRGINIA HIGHLANDS AND ALONG THE 
VIRGINIA-WEST VIRGINIA BORDER. NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED 
IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS DUE TO WARM SOIL TEMPERATURES.  WITH THE 
EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS...MOST OF THE AREA WILL EXPERIENCE
A COLD RAIN...RAIN AMOUNTS AVERAGING A QUARTER /0.25/ TO THREE
QUARTERS /0.75/ OF AN INCH. STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE STORM SYSTEM...BEGINNING 
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY BEFORE DIMINISHING.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A
HARD/KILLING FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO 
THE 20S. NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS.

THE COLD OUTBREAK WILL LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...FOLLOWED BY
WARMING TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.

&&

VAZ010-312130-
BLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BLAND
539 AM EDT FRI OCT 31 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW/RAIN    SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          100          
MAX/MIN TEMP          51           30           39           
MIN/MAX RH %          58           99           77           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      W  3         NW  9G20     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  3         NW  6        NW 12G29     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.38         0.27         
PRECIP DURATION       1            12           12           
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)    4360                      2460         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  8                      N 39         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)    34880                     95940        
DISPERSION (EVENING)               POOR                      
LAL                   1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          3            2            2            
ADI EARLY             15 GEN POOR  21 FAIR      39 FAIR      
ADI LATE              22 FAIR      27 FAIR      80 GOOD      
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            5            
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH
65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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