Carroll County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 302005
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
405 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION PROMOTING MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS...FAIR WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH THE FIRST
HALF OF THE DAY FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY
DETERIORATE FRIDAY EVENING AS A FAST MOVING DISTURBANCE FROM
CANADA MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY...THEN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. WINTER STORM
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY IN THE HIGH COUNTRY OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND
INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA VICINITY OF
MOUNT ROGERS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3000 FEET
WILL SEE THE GREATEST WINTRY IMPACT.

THE SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR THIS WEEKEND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE A
HARD/KILLING FREEZE IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO 
THE 20S. NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE EAST OF THE
MOUNTAINS.  

THE COLD OUTBREAK WILL LAST FOR ABOUT 2 TO 3 DAYS...FOLLOWED BY
WARMING TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.

&&

VAZ016-310930-
CARROLL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALAX
405 PM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      RAIN         SNOW/RAIN    
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90           90           
MIN/MAX TEMP          34           53           32           41           
MAX/MIN RH %          91           57           86           67           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  4         NW 13G23     
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9G17     NW 16G29     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.17         0.14         
PRECIP DURATION                    1            10           11           
PRECIP BEGIN                       3 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5260                      3130         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     NW 31        
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 26300                     97030        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 POOR                      
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
HAINES INDEX          2            3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  12 POOR      60 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  24 FAIR      35 FAIR      37 FAIR      
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            6            4            4            
MAX LVORI LATE        5            3            4            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM
RH 62 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

Note: Please review the Request Procedures before submitting a request. Certain limitations apply.