Rockbridge County Requested Product
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FNUS51 KRNK 221953
FWFRNK

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SW VA...SE WV AND NW NC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
353 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WITH A STATIONARY SURFACE FRONT
EXTENDING FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST...THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THIS FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS
FOR PERIODIC ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
INTO THE MID ATLANTIC TONIGHT. 

BY SUNDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA AND BE 
ON OUR WESTERN FRINGES. PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WILL 
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS DRIER HIGH PRESSURE WORKS ITS WAY INTO THE AREA 
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED
TO BE DRY. THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE WITH AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

VAZ024-230915-
ROCKBRIDGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...BUENA VISTA
353 PM EDT FRI AUG 22 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           40           30           
MIN/MAX TEMP          65           84           63           75           
MAX/MIN RH %          100          62           100          70           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  3        
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  4         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.13         0.05         0.00         
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 5110                      3960         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  3                      E  6         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 15330                     23760        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  VERY POOR                 VERY POOR                 
LAL                   3            3            3            1            
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             8 POOR       16 GEN POOR  17 GEN POOR  13 GEN POOR  
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  16 GEN POOR  3 VERY POOR  14 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            9            6            9            
MAX LVORI LATE        8            3            7            4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG THROUGH THE
NIGHT. PATCHY DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.


 

Site specific forecasts for wildfires and prescribed burns may be obtained by contacting the National Weather Service in Blacksburg, VA at (540) 552-0084 or by submitting a Spot Request over the Internet.

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