EXPERIMENTAL...FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR VA NATL FORESTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
333 PM EDT Sat May 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
FIRE WEATHER THREATS WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF THE
WORKWEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSES ACROSS THE REGION...WHILE 
A STATIONARY FRONT LINGERS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST 
AREA. THE COMBINATION OF THESE TWO FEATURES WILL KEEP HIGH CHANCES 
OF RAIN IN THE FORECAST...IN ADDITION TO CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY 
SKIES AND HIGH MINIMUM RH VALUES. 

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MUCH 
OF THE COMING WEEK AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHES THE 
REGION FROM THE UPPER PLAINS.

VAZ023-024-035-190900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST EAST ZONE-
INCLUDING...DEERFIELD...GLENWOOD...PEDLAR
333 PM EDT SAT MAY 18 2013

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           90           80           40           
MIN/MAX TEMP          60           73           59           80           
MAX/MIN RH %          98           69           97           54           
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.61         0.13         0.01         
PRECIP DURATION       12           10           7            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          6 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                 3710                      4790         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      W 12         
VENT RATE (MPH-FT)                 66780                     57480        
DISPERSION (EVENING)  POOR                      POOR                      
LAL                   2            2            3            3            
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3            
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      23 FAIR      34 FAIR      23 FAIR      
ADI LATE              6 VERY POOR  36 FAIR      10 POOR      28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            4            6            
MAX LVORI LATE        6            4            5            3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM
RH 57 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$