NY TRACON Weather Strategic Planning Aid (SPA)

NY Terminal Aviation Weather Discussion (AFD) - Prepared: 1252 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

HIGH IMPACT WEATHER DAY FOR THE NYC TERMINALS. 

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY NORTH OF THE 
TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND 
COLD FRONT APPROACH SLOWLY FROM THE WEST DURING THE DAY.

CIGS HAVE LIFTED TO VFR OVER KJFK AND KLGA...BUT DO EXPECT THEM TO
DROP TO MVFR OVER BY ABOUT 16Z AS KEWR HAS ALREADY FALLEN BACK TO
MVFR. 

SHOWERS BEGINNING TO POP UP OVER NORTHEAST NJ. IF THEY HOLD
TOGETHER...SHOULD MAKE IT INTO THE CITY TERMINALS BY 15Z-16Z.
HOWEVER...THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDER WILL BE AFTER 19Z. FOR THE NYC
TERMINALS AS WELL AS KSWF AND KHPN...WILL CARRY THUNDER IN A
PREVAILING GROUP STARTING AT 19Z WHICH WILL GO UNTIL 01Z. WHILE I
DO NOT THINK THUNDER WILL OCCUR AT THE TERMINAL THE ENTIRE
TIME...I DO THINK CONVECTION COULD OCCUR AT LEAST HALF OF THE
TIME...RESULTING IN SIGNIFICANT TERMINAL IMPACTS.

CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO IFR OR LESS IN LOW
CLOUDS AND RAIN SHOWERS. ADDITIONAL THUNDER WILL BE POSSIBLE. WILL
INTRODUCE THUNDER TO THE TERMINALS EAST OF NYC IN A PROB30 GROUP
AFTER 00Z AS A LOW LEVEL JET MOVES OVER THE TERMINALS THERE. 

WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT
TODAY. WINDS AWAY FROM THE COAST MAY GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE
TONIGHT.

5 Day General Aviation Outlook:

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
.FRIDAY...NUMEROUS SHRA...ISOLATED TSTMS POSSIBLE. MVFR TO IFR IN
SHOWERS...FOG AND STRATUS.
.SATURDAY...SHRA LIKELY WITH MVFR OR LOWER. N WINDS 25-30G35KT.
.SUNDAY...MOST LIKELY VFR WITH NW WINDS 20-25KT. POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS 
UP TO 40KT.
.MONDAY...VFR. NW WINDS 15-20G25KT.

NY Metro Terminal Aviation Weather Summary: (Explanation of Color Coding)
NOTE: All Wind Directions are TRUE (add 13 degrees for magnetic directions). Tail and Crosswind Calculations do account for the magnetic deviation of runways.

Click on the Airport Below for Specific Information at that Terminal

TAF Overview

Jump to AirSpace Impacts Section Condensed "lite" version of SPA page
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KJFK Terminal Weather:

5MIN KJFK 231710Z 18020G29KT 10SM FEW039 SCT095 21/17 
     A2988 50 75 800 190/20G29 RMK AO2 PK WND 18029/1701
5MIN KJFK 231705Z 18021G29KT 10SM FEW039 21/17 A2988 50
      78 800 190/21G29 RMK AO2 PK WND 18029/1701
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****  MAGNETIC DIRECTIONS - SUBTRACT 13 ****
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KJFK 05/23/2013 17:23:23 GMT 180 20 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:21:21 GMT 180 22 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:19:25 GMT 180 22 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:17:24 GMT 180 23 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:15:21 GMT 180 24 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:13:26 GMT 180 22 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:11:24 GMT 190 24 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:09:22 GMT 190 26 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:07:26 GMT 180 23 KT
KJFK 05/23/2013 17:05:25 GMT 180 22 KT

SAUS70 KJFK 231700 RRQ METAR KJFK 231651Z 18020G28KT 10SM FEW007 SCT028 SCT120 BKN250 22/17 A2987 RMK AO2 PK WND 18028/1648 SLP116 CB DSNT W-N TCU DSNT SW T02170172

FTNA35 KJFK 231529 RRE KJFK 231526Z 2315/2418 18012KT P6SM VCSH FEW007 SCT015 BKN110 TEMPO 2315/2316 5SM -SHRA BR FM231600 19014KT P6SM BKN025 TEMPO 2316/2319 -SHRA OVC025 FM231900 18015KT 5SM -TSRA BKN020CB FM240100 18011KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC008 FM241400 23007KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC012
jfk

JFK Hourly Forecast Temperature (C)

JFK Hourly TMPS

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY FOR CHANGING
CONDITIONS/TIMING OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

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KLGA Terminal Weather:

5MIN KLGA 231710Z 17011G17KT 10SM FEW039 SCT080 SCT100 
     26/18 A2984 100 61 1400 180/11G17 RMK AO2
5MIN KLGA 231705Z 17012KT 10SM FEW042 26/18 A2984 100 
     62 1400 180/12 RMK AO2
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****  MAGNETIC DIRECTIONS - SUBTRACT 13 ****
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KLGA 05/23/2013 17:23:51 GMT 180 11 KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:21:51 GMT 180 13 KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:19:51 GMT 180 14 KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:17:51 GMT 190 13 KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:15:50 GMT 180 15 G19KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:14:01 GMT 180 15 G19KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:11:51 GMT 190 15 G19KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:09:51 GMT 190 15 G19KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:07:51 GMT 190 15 G19KT
KLGA 05/23/2013 17:05:50 GMT 200 14 G19KT

SAUS70 KLGA 231700 METAR KLGA 231651Z 17014G20KT 10SM FEW032 SCT045CB BKN200 25/18 A2985 RMK AO2 SLP107 CB W-N-NE MOV NE T02500178

FTUS80 KLGA 231527 AAA KLGA 231526Z 2315/2412 18010KT P6SM SCT019 BKN200 FM231600 19014KT 5SM HZ BKN025 TEMPO 2316/2319 -SHRA OVC025 FM231900 18015KT 5SM -TSRA BKN020CB FM240100 18010KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC008
lga

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY FOR CHANGING
CONDITIONS/TIMING OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

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KEWR Terminal Weather:

5MIN KEWR 231710Z 20021G26KT 10SM FEW008CB BKN035CB 
     BKN110 BKN250 28/19 A2984 100 58 1600 220/21G26 RMK AO2 PK WND 20026/1710 
     CB NW-NE MOV NE
5MIN KEWR 231705Z 20016G25KT 10SM FEW008CB BKN035CB 
     BKN110 BKN250 27/18 A2984 100 60 1500 220/16G25 RMK AO2 CB NW-NE MOV NE
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****  MAGNETIC DIRECTIONS - SUBTRACT 13 ****
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KEWR 05/23/2013 17:23:27 GMT 230 17 KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:21:25 GMT 220 17 KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:19:28 GMT 210 16 KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:17:28 GMT 220 18 G22KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:15:26 GMT 220 18 G22KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:13:29 GMT 230 19 G22KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:11:28 GMT 230 14 G19KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:09:26 GMT 230 13 KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:07:29 GMT 230 16 KT
KEWR 05/23/2013 17:05:28 GMT 230 19 KT

SAUS70 KEWR 231700 RRA METAR KEWR 231651Z 19016G28KT 10SM FEW008 BKN035CB BKN110 BKN250 27/18 A2984 RMK AO2 PK WND 21029/1624 SLP104 CB OHD-NW-NE MOV NE VCSH NW-NE T02720183

FTUS31 KEWR 231636 AAA KEWR 231634Z 2317/2418 20014KT 5SM HZ BKN025 TEMPO 2317/2319 20020G30KT -TSRA OVC025CB FM231900 19015KT 5SM -TSRA BKN020CB FM240100 22011KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC008 FM241400 27007KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC012
ewr

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY FOR CHANGING
CONDITIONS/TIMING OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

Afternoon EWR Haze Potential Forecast: yellow

THE AFTERNOON KEWR HAZE POTENTIAL FORECAST IS YELLOW...WHICH IMPLIES 
SLANT RANGE VISIBILITY 4-6SM OR GREATER OUTSIDE OF CLOUD.

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KTEB Terminal Weather:

SAUS80 KTEB 231700 METAR KTEB 231651Z 17012G21KT 10SM -RA BKN036CB BKN050 26/19 A2983 RMK AO2 TSB22E37RAB46 SLP100 CB ALQDS VC N P0000 T02560194

FTUS31 KTEB 231636 AAA KTEB 231634Z 2317/2412 18012KT 5SM HZ BKN025 TEMPO 2317/2319 18015G25KT -TSRA OVC025CB FM231900 19010KT 5SM -TSRA BKN020CB FM240100 22007KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC008
teb

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY FOR CHANGING
CONDITIONS/TIMING OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

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KHPN Terminal Weather:

SPUS70 KHPN 231706 SPECI KHPN 231703Z 16011G16KT 7SM -TSRA BKN025 BKN050 23/19 A2986 RMK AO2 OCNL LTGICCC TS N MOV NE P0000

FTUS41 KHPN 231521 AAA KHPN 231519Z 2315/2412 18005KT P6SM VCSH SCT008 BKN015 TEMPO 2315/2316 5SM -SHRA BR FM231600 19008KT 5SM HZ BKN025 TEMPO 2316/2319 -SHRA OVC025 FM231900 18015KT 5SM -TSRA BKN020CB FM240100 18010KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC008 FM240700 23005KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC008 AMD NOT SKED
HPN

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY FOR CHANGING
CONDITIONS/TIMING OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

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KISP Terminal Weather:

SAUS70 KISP 231700 RRB METAR KISP 231656Z 19017G25KT 5SM HZ OVC005 21/17 A2990 RMK AO2 PK WND 19026/1635 SLP123 T02060172 $

FTUS80 KISP 231439 AAA KISP 231437Z 2315/2412 20015G20KT 3SM BR OVC003 FM232200 20015KT 4SM -SHRA BR OVC012 FM240000 20011KT 3SM -SHRA BR OVC008 PROB30 2400/2406 TSRA BKN010CB
ISP

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: AMENDMENTS EXPECTED TODAY FOR CHANGING
CONDITIONS/TIMING OF ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.

ZNY SWAP Information

(ZNY SWAP STATEMENT) (Click for PDF File) (ZNY BRIEFING) (Click for PDF File)

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***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
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NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER
DAILY SWAP STATEMENT
THURSDAY,  MAY 23,  2013

SWAP IS EXPECTED AFTER 16Z.
NMRS TS EXPECTED IN ZNY/ZOB/ZDC/ZBW TODAY. TS MAY EVOLVE INTO 
SEVERAL LINES OR AREAS OF HIGHER COVERAGE....ESP ERN ZBW/ZNY/ZDC 
INCLDG N90...NYC...PHL...DC METRO ARPTS...AND FROM WRN PA THRU W. 
VIRGINIA. TS WL MOVE SLOWLY E-NE THRU THIS EVENING WITH SWAP PSBL 
CONT OVERNIGHT.  ALL ROUTES THRU ZNY/ZDC WL BE IMPACTED.

ADDT'L INFO:
AZEZU-PAEPR-HANRI(L453-M201):  IMPACTS PSBL VCTY AZEZU LATE 
AFTERNOON. 
DITCH: IMPACTS EXPECTED.
EAST GATES:  IMPACTS EXPECTED.
TOMORROW MORNINGS SWAP OUTLOOK:  SWAP IS POSSIBLE.


$$
GS

N90 AirSpace Impacts

Day 1 SWAP OUTLOOK (Updated as Needed)

N90 Thunderstorm Forecast

Day 2 SWAP OUTLOOK

Surface Weather Map

National Collaborative Convective Forecast Product (CCFP) Forecasts (Mar-Oct)