NY Terminal Aviation Weather Discussion (AFD)
WARM FRONT NORTH OF THE REGION TODAY WITH MORNING FOG AND STRATUS
BURNING OFF BY EARLY AFTERNOON. 

HIGH CONFIDENCE IN BECOMING VFR THIS AFTERNOON AS SOUTHWEST LOW
LEVEL FLOW ALLOWS THE MORNING FOG AND STATUS TO BURN OFF/MIX OUT.
AS OF 1330Z...IMPROVEMENT IS SEEN ON VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY.
FIRST AREA TO IMPROVE WILL BE THE NYC METRO WITH EASTERN TERMINAL
HOLDING ON AN HOUR OR TWO MORE. 

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON...MAINLY NORTH OF THE NY METRO. 

PATTERN EXPECTED TO REPEAT ITSELF ON TUESDAY.

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KJFK Terminal Weather:

FTNA35 KJFK 201610 RRA
KJFK 201605Z 2016/2118 21007KT P6SM SCT025
     FM201700 20011KT P6SM FEW025
     FM210200 21008KT 5SM BR SKC
     FM210400 22005KT 3SM BR SCT004
     FM210600 22004KT 1SM BR BKN002
     TEMPO 2109/2113 1/2SM FG
     FM211400 22009KT 6SM HZ SCT025
KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY BE SOONER THAN FCST. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WIND FCST.
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KLGA Terminal Weather:
FTUS80 KLGA 201606 AAA
KLGA 201605Z 2016/2112 22007KT 6SM HZ SCT025
     FM201800 21011KT P6SM FEW025
     FM210500 21005KT 5SM BR SKC
     FM210800 20005KT 2SM BR SCT004
     FM211000 20004KT 1SM BR BKN004
 
KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THIS
AFTERNOON. LOOKS LIKE IT WILL OCCUR SOONER THAN FCST.
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KEWR Terminal Weather:
FTUS80 KEWR 201606 AAA
KEWR 201605Z 2016/2118 24009KT P6SM SCT025
     FM201800 22009KT P6SM FEW025
     FM210400 22005KT 5SM BR SKC
     FM210700 21004KT 2SM BR SCT004
     FM211000 21003KT 1SM BR BKN003
     FM211300 23008KT 6SM HZ SCT025
KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY BE SOONER...AN HOUR OR SO...THAN FCST.

THE AFTERNOON KEWR HAZE POTENTIAL FORECAST IS GREEN...WHICH IMPLIES 
SLANT RANGE VISIBILITY 7SM OR GREATER OUTSIDE OF CLOUD.
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KTEB Terminal Weather:
FTUS80 KTEB 201606 AAB
KTEB 201605Z 2016/2112 22006KT P6SM SCT025 BKN080
     FM201800 21008KT P6SM FEW025
     FM210400 20005KT 5SM BR SKC
     FM210700 00000KT 1SM BR SCT004
     FM211000 21003KT 1/2SM FG VV002
 
KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY BE SOONER...AN HOUR OR SO...THAN FCST.
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KHPN Terminal Weather:
FTUS80 KHPN 201436 AAB
KHPN 201435Z 2015/2112 29003KT 6SM BR OVC007
     FM201600 25006KT P6SM SCT008 BKN020
      TEMPO 2016/2017 BKN010
     FM201800 20008KT P6SM SCT030 BKN200
     FM210100 21006KT P6SM SCT010 BKN200
     FM210400 21003KT 3SM BR SCT010 BKN050
     FM210600 VRB03KT 1SM BR BKN006 AMD NOT SKED
KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY BE SOONER...AN HOUR OR SO...THAN FCST.
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KISP Terminal Weather:
FTUS80 KISP 201436 AAB
KISP 201435Z 2015/2112 24007KT 4SM BR OVC005
     FM201530 23008KT 6SM BR SCT008 BKN020
      TEMPO 2016/2017 BKN008
     FM201730 22012KT P6SM FEW040 BKN200
     FM210100 22007KT P6SM FEW010 BKN200
     FM210400 20005KT 3SM BR BKN006 BKN050
     FM210600 VRB03KT 1/2SM FG OVC004
KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN IMPROVEMENT TO VFR
THIS AFTERNOON. MAY BE SOONER...AN HOUR OR SO...THAN FCST.

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5 Day General Outlook:

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
.TUE-FRI...DURING THE DAY...A CHANCE OF MVFR OF LOWER CONDITIONS
IN SHOWERS/TSTMS. AT NIGHT...A CHANCE OF MVFR OF LOWER CONDITIONS
IN LOW STRATUS/FOG.

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