NY Terminal Aviation Weather Discussion (AFD) - Prepared: 148 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014
LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF MONTAUK POINT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST
TODAY...PASSING EAST OF LONG ISLAND.

MVFR CEILINGS SHOULD PREVAIL MOST OF THE TIME...ALTHOUGH BRIEF VFR
CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE FROM TIME TO TIME THIS MORNING. PERIODS OF
RAIN ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...AND WILL BE TOUGH TO TIME AS THEY MOVE
FROM EAST TO WEST. STILL CANNOT RULE OUT THUNDER AS THIS STORM HAS
BEEN RATHER IMPRESSIVE. TIMING ANY STORMS THOUGH IS TOUGH...AND
CANNOT BE INCLUDED IN TAFS. PLEASE REFER TO TERMINAL FORECAST
AMENDMENTS FOR SPECIFICS.

MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO LIFT TO LOW END VFR...3 TO 5
KFT...THIS AFTERNOON. EASTERN TERMINALS THOUGH WILL HANG ONTO
LOWER CEILINGS A LITTLE LONGER. THEN GENERALLY EXPECT VFR CEILINGS
THIS EVENING.

WINDS REMAINS QUITE STRONG FROM THE NORTH THIS MORNING. SPEEDS 15
TO 25 KT...WITH GUSTS 25 TO 35 KT. WINDS BACK SLIGHTLY TO THE
NORTH/NORTHWEST AND REMAINS GUSTY THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. SPEEDS 15
TO 25 KTS...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KTS. WINDS DIMINISH SOMEWHAT THIS
EVENING...EXCEPT NYC AND COASTAL TERMINALS.

5 Day General Aviation Outlook:

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
.TONIGHT...MAINLY VFR WITH GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY COASTAL AND NYC
TERMINALS.
.FRIDAY...MOST LIKELY VFR...WITH LOW CHANCE SPOTTY MVFR. NW WINDS
G20-25KT POSSIBLE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY. VFR. NW WINDS G15-20KT POSSIBLE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOST LIKELY VFR...LOW CHANCE MVFR IN SHOWERS.
W WINDS G20-25KT POSSIBLE.
.SUNDAY-SUNDAY NIGHT...VFR. NW WINDS G25-30KT POSSIBLE.
.MONDAY...VFR.


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KJFK Terminal Weather:

FTNA35 KJFK 230740 RRD
KJFK 230731Z 2308/2412 01023G32KT P6SM BKN020
     TEMPO 2308/2311 5SM -RA BR BKN012
     FM231100 36022G31KT 6SM BR VCSH BKN015
     FM231400 34021G29KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM231800 33020G28KT P6SM BKN025 OVC035
     FM232300 33017G25KT P6SM BKN040 BKN080
     FM240400 33015G21KT P6SM BKN050 BKN080
KJFK Forecaster Comments Not Available at This Time
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KLGA Terminal Weather:
FTUS31 KLGA 230733 AAA
KLGA 230731Z 2308/2406 01018G28KT P6SM BKN020
      TEMPO 2308/2311 5SM -RA BR BKN012
     FM231100 36018G28KT 6SM BR VCSH BKN015
     FM231400 34018G28KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM231800 33018G27KT P6SM BKN025 OVC035
     FM232300 33015G24KT P6SM BKN040 BKN080
     FM240400 33013G21KT P6SM BKN050 BKN080
KLGA Forecaster Comments Not Available at This Time
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KEWR Terminal Weather:
FTUS31 KEWR 230733 AAA
KEWR 230731Z 2308/2412 01019G28KT P6SM BKN020
      TEMPO 2308/2311 5SM -RA BR BKN012
     FM231100 36018G28KT 6SM BR VCSH BKN015
     FM231400 34018G28KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM231800 33018G26KT P6SM BKN025 OVC035
     FM232200 33016G23KT P6SM BKN040 BKN080
     FM240400 33014G20KT P6SM BKN050 BKN080
KEWR Forecaster Comments Not Available at This Time
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KTEB Terminal Weather:
FTUS80 KTEB 230736 CCA
KTEB 230733Z 2308/2406 36015G25KT P6SM BKN020
      TEMPO 2308/2311 5SM -RA BR BKN012
     FM231100 35015G24KT 6SM BR VCSH BKN015
     FM231400 34015G23KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM231800 33013G22KT P6SM BKN030 OVC040
     FM232200 33012G20KT P6SM BKN040 BKN080
     FM240200 33011G16KT P6SM BKN050 BKN080
KTEB Forecaster Comments Not Available at This Time
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KHPN Terminal Weather:
FTUS80 KHPN 230736 AAA
KHPN 230733Z 2308/2406 36017G26KT P6SM BKN020
      TEMPO 2308/2311 5SM -RA BR BKN012
     FM231100 36017G26KT 6SM BR VCSH BKN015
     FM231800 33015G25KT P6SM BKN025 OVC035
     FM232300 33013G21KT P6SM BKN040 BKN080
     FM240200 33011G17KT P6SM BKN050 BKN080 AMD NOT SKED
KHPN Forecaster Comments Not Available at This Time
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KISP Terminal Weather:
FTUS51 KISP 230736 AAA
KISP 230733Z 2308/2406 01022G33KT P6SM OVC020
      TEMPO 2308/2311 4SM -RA BR BKN012
     FM231100 36021G30KT 6SM BR VCSH BKN015
     FM231400 34019G29KT P6SM VCSH BKN015
     FM231900 34017G27KT P6SM BKN025 OVC035
     FM240000 33015G25KT P6SM BKN040 BKN080
     FM240400 33013G22KT P6SM BKN050 BKN080
KISP Forecaster Comments Not Available at This Time

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5 Day General Outlook:

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
.TONIGHT...MAINLY VFR WITH GUSTY WINDS...ESPECIALLY COASTAL AND NYC
TERMINALS.
.FRIDAY...MOST LIKELY VFR...WITH LOW CHANCE SPOTTY MVFR. NW WINDS
G20-25KT POSSIBLE.
.FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY. VFR. NW WINDS G15-20KT POSSIBLE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOST LIKELY VFR...LOW CHANCE MVFR IN SHOWERS.
W WINDS G20-25KT POSSIBLE.
.SUNDAY-SUNDAY NIGHT...VFR. NW WINDS G25-30KT POSSIBLE.
.MONDAY...VFR.


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