PHL Terminal Aviation Weather Discussion (AFD) - Prepared: 411 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014


.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, 
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR TO START THEN DETERIORATING CONDS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.  
HIGH PRES OVER THE REGION WILL MOVE EWD.  AS IT DOES SWLY FLOW WILL 
STRENGTHEN ACRS THE AREA.  LOW PRES WILL ALSO DEVELOP ACRS THE SRN 
PLAINS AND MOVE TO NR THE GRTLKS BY MON MRNG.  THE ASSOCD WMFNT WITH 
THIS LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND THE WIND SHUD BECOME MORE 
SELY AND CUD GUST IN THE 15 TO 20 KT RANGE.  RAIN WILL DEVELOP FROM SW TO 
NE DURG THE EVE HOURS AND OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA, PSBLY BECOMING 
HEAVY AT TIMES OVERNIGHT.  A RUMBLE OF THUNDER CAN NOT BE RULED OUT 
OVER THE DELMARVA OR SERN NJ.  

CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE TO MVFR AND IFR FROM EVENING 
ONWARD AND SOME LIFR IS PSBL THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO 
FORECAST IT ATTM.  

WITH A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT, LLWS IS 
PSBL IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS CONTINUING THRU THE MRNG.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...MVFR, AND LOCALIZED IFR CEILINGS, WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MUCH OF THE DAY ON MONDAY AS THE -RA SLOWLY MOVES OUT. 

MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY...CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR
THROUGH THIS PERIOD.

WEDNESDAY...A COASTAL STORM WILL LIKELY BRING MVFR OR IFR CEILINGS
AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO RA (POSSIBLY RASN AT TIMES) FOR
THE REGION. IN ADDITION, EXPECT PERSISTENT NORTHERLY OR
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS FOR GENERALLY THE LATTER HALF OF THE DAY.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS CONTINUE. IN ADDITION, IF
PRECIPITATION LINGERS FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT, COULD SEE -SN AND
REDUCED VISIBILITIES BECAUSE OF IT.

THANKSGIVING...CONDITIONS SLOWLY RETURN TO VFR AND WINDS SHIFT TO
WESTERLY.

 

Ribbon Display - Airport Winds

 

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****        MAGNETIC DIRECTIONS         ****
********************************************
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:29:35 GMT 220 11 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:27:13 GMT 220 10 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:25:13 GMT 220 09 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:23:34 GMT 220 11 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:21:13 GMT 220 11 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:19:13 GMT 220 11 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:17:35 GMT 220 10 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:15:13 GMT 220 10 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:13:13 GMT 220 09 KT
KPHL 11/23/2014 13:11:41 GMT 210 09 KT

PHL Terminal Aviation Forecast (TAF)

TAFPHL (View previous versions )
KPHL 231135Z 2312/2418 20006KT P6SM SCT100
     FM240000 16006KT P6SM OVC050
     FM240300 15006KT 5SM -RA BR OVC020
     FM240600 12010KT 4SM -RA BR OVC010
     FM240800 15015G26KT 4SM -RA BR OVC007 WS020/16050KT
Islip Terminal Information

ZNY SWAP/TSTM Information

(ZNY SWAP STATEMENT) (Click for PDF File) (ZNY BRIEFING) (Click for PDF File)

*******************************************************
***        NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER      ***
***                DAILY SWAP STATEMENT             ***
*******************************************************
NY AIR ROUTE TRAFFIC CONTROL CENTER
DAILY SWAP STATEMENT
SUNDAY OCTOBER 26, 2014
ROUTINE SWAP STATEMENTS ARE ISSUED 
BETWEEN APRIL 1 AND SEPTEMBER 30.
SWAP STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED IF TS ARE 
EXPECTED TO IMPACT OPERATIONS.
$$


PHL Compression Forecast (Updated as Needed)

N90 Compression Outlook

PHL Icing Forecast (N/A in Summer)

N90 Icing Forecast

PHL Thunderstorm Forecast

N90 Thunderstorm Forecast

 

 

Vertical Wind Profile